BACKGROUND PAPER ON THE PREVENTION OF CATASTROPHIC FOOD SECURITY CONDITIONS IN NORTH EAST NIGERIA JUNE 2020

North-east Nigeria has reached alarming levels of food insecurity and hunger after 11 years of conflict. The most recent Cadre Harmonisé (CH) (March 2021) indicates that up to 4.4 million people in north-east Nigeria’s Borno, Adamawa and Yobe (BAY) States will require food assistance during the lean season (June-August 2021)1. The projected number of acutely food-insecure people has increased, as compared to the 2020 peak of the lean season that included the effects of COVID-19 on food insecurity. This is the highest number of food insecure people in the BAY states since March 2017. About 775,000 people will face emergency (IPC Phase 4) during the 2021 lean season, which is an 84% and 16% increase compared to 2019 and 2020 figures. According to the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) acute malnutrition analysis (IPC AMN) of March 2021, the number of acutely malnourished children and women is expected to significantly increase during the lean season in 2021 with some 1.15 million children and above 124,000 women projected to be acutely malnourished. This will be the highest levels of women and children at risk since 2017, when the crisis was at its peak. According to the IPC AMN, over three-quarter (75%) of all local government areas (LGAs) are projected to be classified as critical (phase 4) or serious (Phase 3).

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