IGAD - Desert Locust Movement Prediction
|Post date||Monday, 20 April, 2020 - 15:31|
|Group this content belongs to||Desert Locust|
Wheat cultivation is underway in Sudan's crop areas and in favorable condition due to adequate rainfall. So far, the desert locust has not infested these crop lands due to intense control. Sudan and Eritrea report to have controlled most swarms with intensive surveillance and control measures.
Climatic conditions continue to be highly suitable for locust development, especially in South Sudan, eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, northwestern Kenya, and northeastern Uganda.
Wind direction, which greatly determines swarm movement, forecasted to be generally southerly (blowing from south to north) in Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
Predicted Desert locust movements, south to northwestern areas of South Sudan, south to western Ethiopia and eastern Ethiopia towards northern Ethiopia.
Breeding areas increased;in February and March due to suitable conditions and sandy soils in northern Kenya, Ethiopia Oromiya and SNNPR, Somalia’s Somaliland, Eritrea’s Buri Peninsula, and Sudan’s Agig and Alibai. Hopper bands in those areas and some young adults already reported.
The Desert Locust situation remains extremely serious in Eastern Africa. The most infested areas are rangelands of Kenya and Ethiopia.
Planting of sorghum, maize and beans is underway in Ethiopia. Young adult swarms from southern Ethiopia and northern Kenya pose invasion risk in the crop areas mentioned in the table below.